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'Mission creep' in the Iraq conflict has dropped US chances of success from 70 percent to 26 percent, says a University of Georgia researcher. The predictions were made by a statistical system that has been accurate in 80 percent of former conflicts, said assistant professor Patricia L. Sullivan. The same approach gave a 93% chance of success for the first Iraq War in 1991. picked by TheUncannyWally 1 year ago tags iraq war conflict prediction forecast statistics |
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